Why No News can often be Good News

“If we assume that there are normal or standard income results to be obtained from investing money insecurities, then the role of the advisor can be more readily established. He will use his superior training and experience to protect his clients against mistakes and to make sure that they obtain the results to which their … Read more

What to do when Uncertainty is certain, and nobody knows nothing

“For years the financial services have been making stock market forecasts without anyone taking this activity very seriously. Like everyone else in the field they are sometimes right and sometimes wrong. Wherever possible they hedge their opinions so as to avoid the risk of being proved completely wrong. There is a well-developed art of Delphic … Read more

Breaking News: Pray during market falls!

“The investor’s common stock portfolio is almost certain to fluctuate in value over any period of several years. The investor should know about these possibilities and should be prepared for them both financially and psychologically. He will want to benefit from changes in market levels, perhaps also making purchases at advantageous prices.” – The Intelligent … Read more

Book Synopsis: The Upside of Irrationality

Another weekend another book. This time it was about irrationality and actually how it helps being irrational – The Upside of Irrationality! We are an irrational species, and that was amply demonstrated through a set of experiments that the author conducted over time. Irrationality One of our irrationalities has to do with lack of acceptance … Read more

Book Synopsis: The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

I recently finished reading ‘The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable’ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the Lebanese essayist, writer, philosopher. I had read his ‘Fooled by Randomness’ a few years back, and the essential message of this book is, more or less, similar. The basic premise of both the books is this: The … Read more

Guru Speak: An Uncommon Man, Philip Fisher’s Famous Words

philfisherPhilip Fisher was an American investor best known as the pioneer of growth investing and the author of Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, a guide to growth investing that has remained in print ever since it was first published in 1958.

1. There is a complicating factor that makes the handling of investment mistakes more difficult. This is the ego in each of us. None of us likes to admit to himself that he has been wrong. If we have made a mistake in buying a stock but can sell the stock at a small profit, we have somehow lost any sense of having been foolish.

2. On the other hand, if we sell at a small loss we are quite unhappy about the whole matter. This reaction, while completely natural and normal, is probably one of the most dangerous in which we can indulge ourselves in the entire investment process.

3. More money has probably been lost by investors holding a stock they really did not want until they could ‘at least come out even’ than from any other single reason. If to these actual losses are added the profits that might have been made through the proper reinvestment of these funds if such reinvestment had been made when the mistake was first realized, the cost of self-indulgence becomes truly tremendous.”

4. Investment is rarely an optimized process in hindsight. Most of the time, you can attempt to position yourself for a sub-optimal return, which ain’t too bad at all.

5. I don’t want a lot of good investments; I want a few outstanding ones. If the job has been correctly done when a common stock is purchased, the time to sell it is almost never.

6. I remember my sense of shock some half-dozen years ago when I read a [stock] recommendation to sell shares of a company . . . The recommendation was not based on any long-term fundamentals. Rather, it was that over the next six months the funds could be employed more profitably elsewhere.

7. The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.

Guru Speak: Sir John Templeton’s Famous Words

johntempleton1. Successful investing is only common sense. Each system for investing will eventually become obsolete.

2. The time to buy a stock is when the short-term owners have finished selling and the time to sell a stock is often when short-term owners have finished their buying.

3. Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and sell.

4. “This time is different” are among the most costly four words in market history.

5. Search for bargains. You should try to buy that particular investment whose market price is lowest in relation to your estimate of its true value.

6. I never ask if the market is going to go up or down, because I don’t know, and besides it doesn’t matter. I search nation after nation for stocks, asking: “Where is the one that is lowest priced in relation to what I believe it’s worth?”

7. The only investors who shouldn’t diversify are those who are right 100 percent of the time.

8. If you are diversified among different forms of wealth, nations, and industries, you’ll be safe in the long-run.

9. Experience teaches us that one of the most common errors in selecting stocks for purchase, or for sale, is the tendency to emphasize only the most obvious factor; namely the temporary outlook for sales and profits of the company.

10. The only certainty about the future is the fact that it will be different from the past.

11. For those properly prepared in advance, a bear market in stocks is not a calamity but an opportunity.

12. An investor who has all the answers doesn’t even understand the questions.

13. Diversify. In stocks and bonds, as in much else, there is safety in numbers.

14. …success is a process of continually seeking answers to new questions.

15. People are always asking me where is the outlook good, but that’s the wrong question…. The right question is: Where is the outlook the most miserable?

16. If you begin with prayer, you will think more clearly and make fewer mistakes.

Guru Speak: What John Bogle, father of index mutual fund investing, famously said

johnbogleJohn Bogle was the founder and retired CEO of the Vanguard Group. He is known for his 1999 book Common Sense on Mutual Funds: New Imperatives for the Intelligent Investor, which became a bestseller and is considered a classic. A proponent of mutual funds for individual investors to build long term wealth, Bogle (through Vanguard) was the first to introduce low cost Index funds for individuals. Here are some famous words:

1. Time is your friend; impulse is your enemy.

2. If you have trouble imaging a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks.

3. When reward is at its pinnacle, risk is near at hand.

4. We now have an equity fund industry that’s [worth] $2 trillion, and if everyone wants their $2 trillion back tomorrow, they’re not going to get it.

5. Capitalism requires a structure and value system that people believe in and can depend on.

6. The scandal is not what’s illegal. It’s what’s legal.

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